When's the power back?
Here's a straight answer.
Enter your address for an independent restoration estimate — often before your utility posts one. Every forecast is graded against what actually happened, so you can see how far to trust it. How accurate is this?
Typical error as of Oct 3: 1.7 hours over the 600 most recently graded, about 3.6 days of outages.
What this does that an outage map doesn't
Your utility's map tells you the power is out. It usually won't tell you when it's coming back — and when it does post a time, that time often moves. We estimate restoration independently, from the outage's own recovery trend, and then publish how well we did.
- An estimate before the utility posts one. We measure how fast customers are actually being restored and project from that — so there's an answer during the hours when the official map says nothing.
- We say when we don't know. If the trend is too weak, the outage is still growing, or it's too small to estimate reliably, the page says so instead of inventing a time. That's a deliberate rule, not a gap — see the methodology.
- We grade ourselves in public. Every estimate is scored against when power actually returned, misses included, on the accuracy page.
- We grade the utilities too. Same yardstick on their posted restoration times — including how often a posted time slips later.
- History for your specific county. How long outages here have actually lasted, drawn from 12 years of federal (DOE/ORNL) records plus our own tracking — not a national average.
Coverage: free county-by-county outage counts for every US county from federal data, plus more detailed live numbers straight from hundreds of utilities' own outage maps. How the estimate works · Data sources
